Tae noa mai ki tēnei wā, kua ora ake ngā utanga rererangi i te pānga o te mate urutā. E ai ki te pūrongo mākete ā-marama a IATA, ko te maha o ngā taonga utanga rererangi i te marama o Hānuere he 19.5 ōrau noa iho te iti iho i tērā i te tau 2019. (Kāore ngā raraunga i whakahuatia nā te mate urutā i te tau 2020). Hononga, Ngā Poraka Whakamutunga me Whakaata o te Rīpene Pahikara me mōhio.
Wāhitau Uiui: https://www.iata.org/en/iata-repository/publications/economic-reports/air-freight-monthly-analysis---january-2021/
E ai ki ngā pūrongo kua ora ake ngā mākete utanga rererangi i roto i te āhua V mai i tōna taenga ki tōna taumata iti rawa i te Paenga-whāwhā 2020, ā, kei te pōuri tonu ngā mahi a ngā kamupene rererangi.
Ko ngā raraunga i tukuna e te ratonga raraunga CLIVE o Rānana, e rite ana ki te IATA, kāore i whakaatu i te tipu pai tae noa ki Pēpuere. Ahakoa e toru ngā rā i iti iho ai a Pēpuere i a Hānuere, he tino kaha tonu te tere uta, me te kaha tāuta toharite o ngā waka rererangi e tata ana ki te 70 ōrau me te tipu o ia marama o te 7 ōrau.
Ko te utu mō ngā momo kawe waka katoa me ngā raruraru mekameka tuku e tohu kaha ana ka wera haere te mākete utanga rererangi, ka taumaha haere hoki i te wāhanga e whai ake nei o te tau, me te kore e noho pōturi haere i te kōanga me te raumati.
He maha ngā umanga e neke ana i ngā taonga mai i te moana ki te rangi nā te pikinga ake o te tono, te kikī o te tauranga, te roa o te wā tatari me te korenga o ngā ipu.
01 He maha ngā hua "mai i te moana ki te rangi"
Kia rongo tātou i ngā kōrero a ēnei kaihoko kawemai.
1 I mea te kaiwhakahaere kawe waka o te kamupene kawemai pahikara Canyon bicycle USA:
Ko te nuinga o ngā taonga a tā mātou kamupene ka tukuna mā te moana, engari ko ngā pahikara rongonui ko te rangi, nā te mate urutā kua piki ake te hiahia mō ngā hua. Hei tāpiri, he tere ake te tuku kaipuke mā te rangi, me whakatutuki e mātou ngā hiahia o ngā kiritaki.
I mua, ka tae atu mātou ki te tauranga kaipuke mā te utu tāpiri, engari ināianei kua kore e hiahiatia, nā te mea ahakoa i te tauranga o Los Angeles, kāore tonu e taea te tiki i ngā taonga.
I mua i te pakarutanga mai o te mate urutā, e 20-30 ngā rā e pau ana mō ia utaina ki te moana, engari i nāianei e 60-70 ngā rā e pau ana. He nui rawa te whakapaunga mō mātou, ā, he nui te pānga ki tā mātou mahi, nō reira, kāore e taea te tatari, ko te kawe waka rererangi anake te mea ka taea te whiriwhiri.
I mea atu a Brian Bourke, te Tumu Whakatipu Matua o 2 Secco Logistics:
Ki te hiahia koe ki te tuku kaukau mai i Shanghai ki New York mā te moana, ko te utu he $1000 pea, e 35-45 ngā rā e pau ana, kāore i roto i tēnei te wā tatari mō te pukapuka i mua mō te kawe waka i te moana.
Ā, e ai ki te taumaha o te hua, ko te utu uta mā te rangi he $2000-3000 pea. Engari e 3-4 noa ngā rā e pau ana mō te uta mā te rangi. Nō reira, mā te rua o te utu ka taea te penapena i ngā wiki e 4-7, he mea nui tēnei mō ētahi kaiwhakarato me ngā kawemai.
I mea atu a Shawn Richard, te tumuaki tuarua mō ngā utanga rererangi o te ao o 3SEKO:
Ko ngā taputapu hākinakina nunui, pērā i ngā tēpu tēnehi me ngā mīhini oma, ka haria mā te moana nā te mea he raruraru utu. Engari i nāianei, nā te mate urutā o te ao, he tokomaha te tangata e noho ana ki te kāinga, ā, ka piki ake te hiahia mō ēnei hua, e haria ana mā te rangi i nāianei.
I mea atu a Matt Castle, te tumuaki tuarua o 4CH Robinson:
Kāore au i whakaaro ka kite ahau i te mīhini horoi puehu e rere ana i te rangi, engari ināianei kua tupu. Ka kite tātou i ētahi atu taonga e hiahia ana kia tere ake te kawe, engari me kawe mā te rangi, kaua e "tāria".
Kei te wera tonu te hiahia mō te hau
Kāore he tohu e whakaiti ana i te hiahia mō ngā waka rererangi.
E ai ki te PMI, kua kitea te tipu kaha o ngā ota hanga me ngā ota kaweake o te ao mō ngā marama. He iti tonu te ōwehenga o ngā taonga hokohoko ki ngā hoko, ā, he maha ngā kaipuke e tahuri ana ki ngā waka rererangi hei whakahaere i ngā taonga o ngā hua nui, o ngā hua e tere hoko ana rānei.
E matapaetia ana e te National Retail Federation ka piki ngā hoko hokohoko o Amerika mā te 6.5% ki te 8.2%. Ko te toharite o te tipu i ngā tau e rima kua pahure ake nei ko te 4.5. E matapaetia ana e te International Monetary Fund ka piki ngā hoko hokohoko o Amerika mā te 5.1% i te tau 2021. E ai ki ngā kaipūtaiao ōhanga, ka piki te hua o roto (GDP) mā te 4.5 ki te 5 ōrau. E ai ki te eMarketer me te Tari Tauhokohoko o Amerika, nā te mate urutā i huri te hokohoko ipurangi hei "tereina rere". I te tipu o ngā hokohoko puta noa i te ao mā te 28%, i piki ake te hokohoko i te United States mā te 32.4 ōrau.
Hei tāpiritanga, he maha ngā wheketere e tuwhera tonu ana i tēnei tau nā te mea e akiaki ana te kāwanatanga o Haina i ngā kaimahi ki te whakanui i te Tau Hou i taua wā tonu. Nō reira, i heke iho ngā tukunga rererangi mā te 30 ōrau noa iho, ki te whakaritea ki te 60 ōrau i te tikanga. Hei tauira, tata ki te rima ngā wā i piki ake ai te nui o te hokohoko mai i Haina ki Ūropi i te Hui-tanguru 2021 ki te whakaritea ki te wā kotahi o te tau kua hipa.
Ko Amerika Te Raki te kaiārahi i ngā mākete rererangi nui, me te pikinga o te tono o te ao mā te 8.5% i te marama o Hānuere, mai i te 4.4% i te marama o Tīhema. Ko te nuinga o ngā mahi e mahia ana puta noa i te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa, mā roto rānei i ngā pokapū i te Middle East i waho o Āhia. Kua heke te kaha o te ao i te rohe mā te 8.5 ōrau.
Nā, mēnā he nui rawa te tono mō ngā utanga rererangi, me pēhea te utanga rererangi?
03 Kei te teitei tonu ngā utanga
Whai muri i te Tau Hou o te Marama Hainamana, kua piki anō ngā utu o ngā utanga rererangi, inā koa mā Āhia.
I kī ngā kaitātari he iti ake te tūponotanga ka heke ngā utu i te haurua tuarua o te tau nā te mea kei raro noa iho ngā taonga mō ngā waka rererangi nui e toe ana i ngā taumata i mua i te mate urutā, ā, kua nui rawa te tono mō te kaha kaipuke.
E whakaahua ana ngā kaititiro mākete i te pikinga o ngā utunga rererangi. Kua rerekē te oranga o te tangata me ngā āhuatanga ōhanga i te mate urutā. Nō reira, e kī ana ngā tohunga whakahaere waka rererangi he uaua ki te whakaaro mō te ahunga o te mākete. Nā te nui o te tono kawemai me te korenga o ngā waka rererangi i piki ake ai te utunga rererangi o Āhia mā te 50% i te haurua tuatahi o Pēpuere.
E whakaatu ana te FreightWaves SONAR me ētahi atu tohu e 2.5 ngā wā o te utu o ngā kamupene mō te kawe waka rererangi i runga i ngā huarahi matua, ki te whakaritea ki ngā tau tata nei.
Hei tāpiritanga, i heke iho ngā uta rererangi mā te 30% noa iho i te wiki tuatahi i muri i te Tau Hou o te Marama, i tīmata i te 12 o Pēpuere, tata ki te haurua o ngā tau tuatahi e rua o te rererangi, nā te mea kāore a Haina i mutu te mahi i tēnei tau. He 1% noa iho te iti iho o te tauwehenga uta o te waka rererangi, ki te whakaritea ki te 20% i te tau 2019 me te tau 2020.
Nā te haere tonu o te whakaputanga kua piki ake te kikī o ngā tauranga i te Hononga o Amerika me Ūropi, kua nui rawa ngā mekameka tuku taonga, ā, kua piki tonu te kikī o ngā tauranga maha i te Hononga o Amerika me Ūropi. Kua kī tonu ngā kaipuke kawe moana, ā, kāore i te rawaka ngā ipu hei whakatutuki i te pikinga o te tono mai i te maha o ngā kamupene.
Nā tēnei i hua ake ai ngā utu tū tata mai i Āhia ki te Tai Hauāuru o te Hononga o Amerika tata ki te $5,000 mō ia waeine ōrite e whā tekau putu (he pikinga 260 ōrau i runga i te wā ōrite o te tau kua hipa), ko ngā utu tū tata ki te raki o Ūropi neke atu i te $8,000, ā, i nekehia anō ngā taonga e ngā kaituku ki te rangi.
I roto i te pānui hna air index o te marama o Pēpuere, i kī te kaiwhakahaere whanaketanga pakihi o te Air Frey (Robert Frei) e $110,000 te utu hei tuku i tētahi ipu ki Ūropi i ngā utu toharite mō ngā utanga rererangi.
Wā tuku: Maehe-18-2021