I te ata o te 8 o Hakihea, i piki ngātahi te renminbi o uta me te renminbi o tai, ā, e rua i eke ki ō rāua taumata teitei o Mei, he taumata teitei hou mai i te marama o Mei 2018. He aha te kaha o te reiti yuan? Me pēhea te tiro i te ia o te heke mai? Kua piki ake te yuan ki te tāra mō ngā marama e toru karapīpiti mai i te marama o Hepetema. Mai i tēnei tau, ko te reiti whakawhiti RMB kei te haere tonu te pikinga mai i te marama o Hune 2020. E whakaatu ana ngā tatauranga mai i te 10 ngā tohu i te 8 o Hakihea, i piki ake te reiti whakawhiti RMB o uta ki te tāra US ki te 2.85% i tēnei tau, i te mea i piki ake te taupū tāra US ki te 6.88% i taua wā anō. I raro i te papamuri o te reiti whakawhiti tāra kaha, i peia e te reiti whakawhiti RMB te ia i waho o te ia motuhake. I te 3 o Hakihea, ko te taupū whakawhiti RMB CFETS, e whakaata ana i te huringa reiti whakawhiti toharite taumaha o te yuan ki te kete moni, i ripoatahia ki te 102.66, i te taumata teitei rawa mai i te marama o Hakihea 2015, ā, i piki ake ki te 8.25% mai i te mutunga o 2020. Mono tō, Pūnaha Kawe Maramara me ngā whakaata ara waka matomato me mōhio.
I kī a Zhang Yu, te kaitātari matua o Huachuang Securities, mai i te marama o Hepetema 2021, kua tino rerekē te utu whakawhiti RMB mai i te tāra, kāore te pikinga o te tāra e heke engari e piki ana, ā, kei te taumata kaha te kete o te tāra.
I te 6 o Hakihea, i panuitia e te Peeke o te Iwi o Haina ka tapahia katoatia te ōwehenga whakaritenga rahui mā te 0.5 ōrau i te 15 o Hakihea, ā, e matapaetia ana ka tukuna e rātou te 12,000 yuan o ngā moni roa. E whakaponohia whānuitia ana ka pēhia te reiti whakawhiti moni ā-rohe e te tukunga o te moni nui mā te tikanga reiti huamoni. Heoi, kāore te panuitanga o te tapahi RRR i pā ki te kaha o te mahi whakawhiti RMB. Mai i te 7 o Hakihea, kua kitea te pikinga tere o te utu whakawhiti RMB.
He aha i tino kaha ai? He aha i taea ai e te utu whakawhiti RMB te puta atu i te mākete motuhake? Nā te whakaae a te mākete kua noho pumau tonu te utu whakawhiti RMB mā te whakatairanga i te mahi ōhanga pumau, te tipu tere o te rerenga mai o ngā whakapaipai o tāwāhi, me te kaupapa here moni pumau. Mō te tapahi RRR, i whakanui te tangata e tika ana mō te Peeke Tangata o Haina kāore te aronga o te kaupapa here moni tupato i rerekē, ā, ko te tapahi RRR he mahi noa o te kaupapa here moni. Ka piri te Peeke Tangata o Haina ki te kaupapa here moni noa, ka pupuri i te haere tonu, te pumau me te pumau o ngā kaupapa here, kāore e waipuke i te wai, ā, ka waihanga i tētahi taiao moni me te pūtea e tika ana mō te whanaketanga kounga teitei me te whakahoutanga hanganga taha-tuku. Kei te kaha tonu te utu whakawhiti RMB wā poto, me te aro nui ki ngā huringa waiaro o te peeke pokapū. I kī tētahi kaihokohoko whakawhiti moni o tētahi peeke hea tahi i waenganui o Haina kei te kaha te whakawhiti moni i te mutunga o te tau, kua tino heke te whakawhiti moni o ngā peeke nui, e tika ana kia kaha tonu te mahi whakawhiti RMB wā poto, me aro nui ki te waiaro o te peeke pokapū me te mahi aukati o ngā whakawhiti hangarau nui. mō te utu whakawhiti. Heoi, i tohu anō ia kei te peeke pokapū tonu ngā taputapu e ranea ana hei pupuri i te utu whakawhiti yuan i roto i te awhe taurite whaitake, engari i te kitenga inaianei, e pai ake ana te peeke pokapū ki te tuku i ngā kaha o te mākete ki te mahi i runga i te utu whakawhiti RMB, ki te whakarei ake rānei i tōna ngāwari. I waenganui o Noema, kua tohu te huihuinga tikanga whakahaere whaiaro o te mākete whakawhiti moni ā-motu he uaua, he rerekē hoki te āhua o te ōhanga me te pūtea o te ao o nāianei, ka tīmata te kaupapa here moni o te peeke pokapū ki te whakarerekē, ki te pā ki te utu whakawhiti, ka piki ake pea te utu whakawhiti RMB ā muri ake nei, ka heke pea te uara, he mea noa ngā piki me ngā heke e rua ngā taha, ko te taurite whaitake te whāinga, he rite te rerekētanga ki te kaha whakatikatika.
Tērā pea ka puta te pānga whakakīkī o te hongere whakataunga moni ke i te mutunga o te tau. I kī te kairangahau macro Galaxy futures ko te ia o te utu whakawhiti RMB i te mutunga o te tau ko te pānga whakakīkī o ngā hongere whakataunga moni ke i mua i te mutunga o te tau. I te tīmatanga, he kaha te utu whakawhiti RMB, ā, kāore ngā umanga moni whiwhi moni ke e pai ki te hoko moni ke ki ngā peeke i ngā utu iti, engari e tumanako ana ki te hoko moni ke ki ngā peeke i ngā utu whakawhiti teitei ake, arā, kāore e pai ki te hoko, ki te hoko atu rānei me te moni ke. Heoi, ina noho kaha tonu te utu whakawhiti RMB i mua i te mutunga o te tau, he ngāwari ki te whakaputa i te pānga whakakīkī o te hongere whakataunga moni ke, ā, ka whakatairangahia e te pānga whakakīkī o te hongere whakataunga moni ke te utu whakawhiti RMB kia teitei ake, ā, ka puta te mōrearea o te utu whakawhiti, ā, ka puta mai i ngā umanga moni whiwhi moni ke pērā i te kaweake. I tohu ngā kaiuru mākete i mua, i te mutunga o te tau, nā te whakataunga moni a ngā umanga kaweake, he kaha te mahi a te utu whakawhiti RMB i te nuinga o te wā. Tērā pea ka piki ake te tūponotanga o te pānga whakakīkī o ngā hongere whakataunga moni ke i tēnei tau. Ko ngā rerekētanga rua-ara te ia nui i tohu ngā kaiuru mākete Ko ngā raraunga kaweake ā-rohe i tukuna tata nei i pupuri i te tere tipu teitei, ahakoa he iti iho te toenga hokohoko i te mea i tumanakohia, engari kei te pupuri tonu i te taumata teitei, e tautoko ana i te mahi kaha o te RMB. Ka tautoko tonu ngā kaweake wā-poto i te renminbi, ka heke pea i te tau e tū mai nei. I tohu a Gao Weidong, te tumuaki ōhanga nui i Everbright Securities, i te mea ka whakaitihia e te mate urutā ngā here i runga i te mekameka tuku, ka puhoi pea te ia o te tipu o te kaweake ā-rohe, ā, ka whakaitihia e te whakahekenga o te toenga hokohoko te tono mō te whakataunga me te hoko moni ke, ā, ka ngoikore te tautoko mō te reiti whakawhiti RMB i te taumata tuku me te tono. Kei roto hoki i te akoranga ko te pikinga o te reiti whakawhiti RMB tata nei he nui ake te pānga o ngā āhuatanga o te wā, kāore e taea te hanga i te whakawhānui raina o te ia wā-poto. Inaa, i ngā tau tata nei, kua maha nga wa i whakamatauhia ai e te mahi mākete tuturu ko nga rereketanga-rua te ia whānui o te mahi reiti whakawhiti RMB. E whakapono ana nga kaimahi o te umanga ka noho tonu te reiti whakawhiti RMB a meake nei i te taumata whaitake me te taurite, me te pupuri i te tauira taketake o te rua-ara. e mānu ana.Engari, tera pea ka whānui ake te awhe rua-ara o te yuan i tēnei tau.
Wā tuku: Hakihea-13-2021





