Izinto ezibangela ukutshintshiselana kwamaxabiso kunye nekamva
1. I-Logic yokuguquguquka kwexesha elifutshane
Kwixesha elifutshane, izinga lokutshintshiselana nge-RMB elwandle liza kuqhubeka lilawulwa zizinto ezilindelweyo kwiingxoxo zerhafu. Ukuba omabini amacala athumela imiqondiso emihle (njengokuqalisa kwakhona iingxoxo ezikumgangatho ophezulu okanye ukucacisa uluhlu lokunciphisa irhafu), izinga lokutshintshiselana ngexabiso linokubuyela umva ngokukhawuleza liye malunga ne-7.25. Ukuba iingxoxo zifikelela kwingxaki okanye i-US inyusa amanyathelo erhafu, izinga lokutshintshiselana ngexabiso linokufikelela kuluhlu lwe-7.35-7.40. Ukongeza, okulindelweyo komgaqo-nkqubo wemali we-Federal Reserve kunye neentshukumo kwi-US Dollar Index kuya kubeka uxinzelelo lwangaphandle kwi-RMB. ibhloko yesiphelo engenazikrufu, izihlanganisi zeqokobhe elijikelezileyo kwaye isinxibelelanisi seebhloko zesiphelo kufuneka kuqatshelwe.
2. Izinto zoBume bexesha eliPhakathi ukuya kwelide
Nangona iingxoxo zerhafu zisembindini okwangoku, indlela eyenzeka ngayo i-RMB exchange rate kwixesha eliphakathi ukuya kwelide isaxhomekeke kwizinto ezisisiseko. Idatha yezoqoqosho yaseTshayina kwikota yokuqala ibonisa ukuqina kwemfuno yasekhaya, kwaye imigaqo-nkqubo yokuxhasa ukukhula iya kubonelela ngenkxaso yesantya sotshintshiselwano. Nangona kunjalo, impembelelo yomgaqo-nkqubo we-US "werhafu yokubuyiselana" kwiindlela zokuthumela ngaphandle ifuna ukuqaphela, ngakumbi njengoko ukuguquguquka kwesantya sotshintshiselwano kunokwanda ngakumbi phantsi kwendlela yorhwebo lwehlabathi.
3. Ibhokisi yeZixhobo zoMgaqo-nkqubo kunye noNcedo lweMarike
IBhanki Yabantu yaseTshayina (i-PBOC) izinzisile iilindelo zemarike ngokusebenzisa izixhobo ezifana nesikhokelo sezinga eliphakathi kunye nohlengahlengiso lwezinto ezichasene nomjikelo. Kwixesha elizayo, inokuthatha amanyathelo anjengokulungisa umlinganiselo wokugcina umngcipheko wokutshintshiselana ngemali kunye nokulawula ulwelo lwemarike yaphesheya ukuze kuthintelwe ulindelo lokuhla kwexabiso ngendlela enye. Amava embali abonisa ukuba i-PBOC izimisele kakhulu ukungenelela kumanqanaba aphambili (umz., 7.35-7.40), ibonelela "ngomgangatho ocacileyo" wezinga lokutshintshiselana.