Arotahi ki te | raruraru ōhanga! He uaua ki te whakatau i te ara nekehanga kaupapa here o te US, Europe me Japan

I te 15 o Ākuhata, kua tukuna e te US āna raraunga ōhanga mō te hauwhā tuarua. I karohia e te US, e Ūropi me Hapani te matapae kino rawa atu mō te hokinga whakamuri i te haurua tuatahi o te tau, ā, kei te kaha tonu te ōhanga. He mārama te rerekētanga o te tere tipu o ngā ōhanga nui e toru, me te US kei runga ake i te 2%. Poraka Whakamutunga Puna，taupoki D-sub me Me mārama te whakaata o te tītaha pahikara.

Mō ētahi wā kei te heke mai, ka mau tonu ngā mōrearea heke i te pānga o ngā reiti huamoni teitei, te pikinga utu nui rānei, ā, kei te anga atu ngā ōhanga nui e toru ki te whiriwhiri i te whakarerekētanga kaupapa here, engari he uaua tonu te whakatau i te ara.

Amerika: Te pānga o ngā reiti huamoni teitei ki ngā mahi ōhanga

I te haurua tuatahi o tēnei tau, i puhoi te ōhanga o Amerika i te tuatahi, kātahi ka piki ake.

I tino tere ake te ōhanga i te hauwhā tuarua ki tērā i tērā i te hauwhā tuatahi, engari ko ngā raraunga i te haurua tuatahi o te tau ki tērā i te haurua tuarua o te tau kua hipa e whakaatu tonu ana i te puhoi nui o te tipu ōhanga.

E ai ki te pūrongo a Bloomberg kua mātao haere te whakapaunga a ngā kaihoko me te whānui o ngā mahi ōhanga i raro i te pēhanga mai i te pikinga ake o ngā reiti huamoni.

E ai ki te Tari Tauhokohoko, i piki ake te hua tūturu o roto (GDP) mā te 4.9% me te 3.4% i te hauwhā tuatoru me te tuawhā o te tau kua hipa. I piki ake mā te 1.4% i te hauwhā tuatahi, he nui ake i te whakaaro whānui i tumanakohia mō te hauwhā tuarua.

E ai ki ngā raraunga pikinga utu i tirotirohia tata nei, ko te taupū utu whakapaunga kaihoko whaiaro (PCE) a te Fed, he tohu pikinga utu pai rawa atu, i piki ake i te 2.6% i te tere ā-tau i te hauwhā tuarua, he heke iho i te 3.4% i te hauwhā tuatahi.

I tua atu i ngā utu hurihuri o te kai me te pūngao, i piki te PCE matua i te tere ā-tau 2.9% i te hauwhā tuarua, he tino heke iho hoki mai i te 3.7% i te hauwhā tuatahi.

I piki ake te reiti kore mahi o te US mā te 0.1 ōrau ia marama ki te 4.1 ōrau i te marama o Hune, ko te taumata teitei rawa atu mai i Noema 2021, ko te toru tēnei o ngā marama karapīpiti o te pikinga.

E matapaetia ana e Eliza Wenger, he tohunga ōhanga nō Bloomberg, ka nui ake te whakakaha i te puhoi o te whakapaunga a ngā kaihoko i te mātao haere o te mākete mahi me te puhoi haere o te tipu o ngā moni whiwhi.

"E ai ki te Wall Street Journal, ahakoa kei te pai te haere o te ōhanga i roto i ngā huarahi maha, ā, kua puhoi te tere o te pikinga utu, he tokomaha tonu ngā Amerikana e kore e harikoa ki ngā utu kai, ngā motuka me ngā whare kua tino teitei ake i ērā tau kua pahure."

E ai ki te pūrongo a Bloomberg, mō te wā tuatahi i roto i te tau, ka pā kino te haumitanga whare ki te tipu o te ōhanga, nā te mea ka whakawhāitihia e ngā reiti mokete teitei ngā mahi hoko me ngā kaupapa hanga hou.

Hei tāpiri, ko te puhoi o te tipu o ngā moni whiwhi whaiaro ka heke pea te kaha whakapau moni a meake nei.

Kei te pāngia hoki te ōhanga o Amerika e te maha o ngā āwangawanga.

E ai ki te Beige Book a te Fed, e matapaetia ana e ngā kaiwhakautu ka puhoi haere te whanaketanga o ngā utu i roto i ngā marama e ono e whai ake nei nā runga i ngā āwangawanga mō te pōtitanga o Amerika e haere ake nei, ngā kaupapa here ā-rohe, ngā pakanga ā-ao me te koretake o te pikinga utu.

E whakapono ana a Desmond Rahman, he tohunga ōhanga i te US Enterprise Institute, tera pea ka pā kino ngā mōrearea whakaheke ki te ōhanga o Amerika.

Kei roto i ēnei mōrearea te "āwangawanga puhoi" pea i roto i ngā whenua arumoni, ka taea ai te whakaoho i tētahi raruraru peeke ā-rohe, te kaha haere o ngā kaupapa here tiaki whenua a te kāwanatanga o Amerika, me te horapa pea o te pakanga o Iharaira-Paretini ki te toenga o te Middle East.

I te pātaitanga mēnā he tika ngā tumanakohanga mō te whakahekenga o te reiti i te marama o Hepetema, i kī te Heamana o te Fed, a Colin Powell, i tētahi huihuinga pāpāho i muri i te hui o Hūrae, kāore anō kia whakatauhia ngā whakataunga mō ngā hui ā muri ake nei.

Engari i mea ia kua whakanui ake ngā raraunga pikinga utu tata nei i te whakapono o te Fed ki te pikinga utu.

"Ki tā mātou whakaaro kua tata te wā ki te tapahi i ngā reiti huamoni."

"E matapaetia ana e ngā kaihokohoko ka tapahia e te Fed te tūponotanga 56.5 ōrau me te tūponotanga 53.5 ōrau o te tapahi 50 ira pūtake i tana hui o Hepetema."

I te 31 o Hūrae, i tumanakohia e ngā kaihokohoko he 85.5% te tūponotanga ka whakahekehia e te Fed ngā reiti huamoni mā te 25 ngā tohu pūtake i tana hui o Hepetema.